Ridiculous Percentages

Post some hands (whether you've won, lost or tied) where the percentages were heavily one-sided.

Hand info:

Date: 2009/02/23 3:37:53 ET
Type: Tournament (81272006)
Game: Hold'em NL
Table: 4
Blinds: $30/60

Table info:
Seat 1: JUWE100 ($1,900)
Seat 2: Berserker22 ($3,415)
Seat 3: Nooooanskin18 ($2,280)
Seat 4: LeftyGunner ($1,715)
Dealer
Seat 5: snowytubbies ($2,215)
Posts small blind $30
Seat 8: auimatzl ($1,065)
Posts big blind $60
Seat 9: sherryg ($1,690)
Dealt to LeftyGunner [Ah Kh]

Preflop: (Pot: $90)
FOLD JUWE100
FOLD Berserker22
FOLD Nooooanskin18
RAISE LeftyGunner, to $180
RAISE snowytubbies, to $300
CALL auimatzl, $270
FOLD sherryg
RAISE LeftyGunner, to $1,715 and is ALL-IN
CALL snowytubbies, $1,415
CALL auimatzl, $765 and is ALL-IN

Flop: (Pot: $4,555)

[Jc 5h Jh]

Turn: (Pot: $4,555)

[Jc 5h Jh] [Jd]

River: (Pot: $4,555)

[Jc 5h Jh] [Jd] [5s]

Showdown:

SHOWS LeftyGunner [Ah Kh]

SHOWS snowytubbies [Kd Qc]

SHOWS auimatzl [Ks Qd]

LeftyGunner wins the pot of $650 with a full house, Jacks full of Fives
snowytubbies wins the pot of $650 with a full house, Jacks full of Fives
auimatzl wins the pot of $1,085 with a full house, Jacks full of Fives
LeftyGunner wins the pot of $1,085 with a full house, Jacks full of Fives
snowytubbies wins the pot of $1,085 with a full house, Jacks full of Fives

This wasn't a freeroll tournament, but it might as well have been. It was a $3 + $.025 big stack tournament late last month.

In case anyone is wondering, these are the percentages of my hand vs theirs:

On the flop, they both were drawing dead. O% chance of winning. I was 93% to win with a 5.7% chance of losing, a tie was just over 1%.

Pre-flop the chance of a tie was LESS than ONE PERCENT. I was about 80% at that point to win, so as you can see I didn't take too kindly to having to split this pot.

Wow... hard to take for sure! I could imagine the frustration of that river hitting and having to split it. The only thing worse would have been what seems to happen to me lately... lol... is that one or both of the Q's would have hit on the turn and river. So I guess on the flop they weren't drawing dead with 0% chance of winning. The 2 Q's being out there.

I don't have any such hands saved to put in this thread for examples, but I remember losing and hand where I had A,K off... one opponent had K,K and another 6,6(chip leader). The flop came A,A,K. now take this on. The turn came 6.... and yep the river came 6! This was all after I and the K,K went all in on the turn and got called! Knocked us both out of a qualifier that we both would have easily gotten in if we didn't play the hand!

dats you were 100% right, any Q that hits gives them the lead. how is it that you copy the hand info down like that, i've seen it done before but not sure how it works. your looking pretty solid in tonights tourny, watched you get into the money, noy sure if i can stay up too much later though. let me know how you finished and how to do the hand histories like that.

illphillllllll wrote:dats you were 100% right, any Q that hits gives them the lead. how is it that you copy the hand info down like that, i've seen it done before but not sure how it works. your looking pretty solid in tonights tourny, watched you get into the money, noy sure if i can stay up too much later though. let me know how you finished and how to do the hand histories like that.

Some poker sites give you the option of saving your hand histories on your hard drive. I started opting for Tilt to save my hand histories for me. Ok so I'll just give you an example of my last hand that is saved in a folder on my hard drive...... it is of the last hand of my Rd 2 Tilt freeroll that knocked me out. I'll just copy and paste it here...I had him dominated preflop but he hit a 6 on the flop!

Full Tilt Poker Game #11370149123: Main Event Race Round 2 (85305099), Table 6 - 30/60 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:22:53 ET - 2009/03/27
Seat 1: pdubbz14 (2,380)
Seat 2: Daynegerous (1,260)
Seat 3: Thseebaem (1,965)
Seat 4: Penduko (1,780)
Seat 5: muckrat13 (1,040)
Seat 6: datsme53 (1,245)
Seat 7: opcboy (3,860)
Seat 8: wolfman3815 (3,245)
Seat 9: mrbennroll (3,625)
opcboy posts the small blind of 30
wolfman3815 posts the big blind of 60
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to datsme53 [Kd Ad]
mrbennroll calls 60
pdubbz14 folds
Daynegerous folds
Thseebaem folds
Penduko calls 60
muckrat13 folds
datsme53 raises to 1,245, and is all in
opcboy folds
wolfman3815 folds
mrbennroll calls 1,185
Penduko folds
datsme53 shows [Kd Ad]
mrbennroll shows [Ah 6h]
*** FLOP *** [Tc 3s 6s]
*** TURN *** [Tc 3s 6s] [5c]
*** RIVER *** [Tc 3s 6s 5c] [5d]
datsme53 shows a pair of Fives
mrbennroll shows two pair, Sixes and Fives
mrbennroll wins the pot (2,640) with two pair, Sixes and Fives
datsme53 stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2,640 | Rake 0
Board: [Tc 3s 6s 5c 5d]
Seat 1: pdubbz14 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: Daynegerous didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: Thseebaem didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: Penduko folded before the Flop
Seat 5: muckrat13 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: datsme53 (button) showed [Kd Ad] and lost with a pair of Fives
Seat 7: opcboy (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 8: wolfman3815 (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 9: mrbennroll showed [Ah 6h] and won (2,640) with two pair, Sixes and Fives

Well i dont have it to post,but in December...3 hours apart i ran into 2 straight flushes,once while holding a full house the other hand a nut flush...funny nut flush didnt seem to apply...but you see odds that get worse than that let me know...because according to my math...it happens every 104 years